Chile vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
10.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2010 |
MEX
1 - 0
CHI
59%
23%
18%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2010 |
CHI
2 - 0
TTO
68%
19%
12%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
CHI
0 - 0
VEN
66%
21%
14%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2010 |
CHI
2 - 1
PAN
75%
17%
8%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2009 |
SVK
1 - 2
CHI
38%
27%
35%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2010 |
ZAM
0 - 0
NGA
19%
25%
57%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2010 |
GAB
1 - 2
ZAM
34%
25%
41%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
CMR
3 - 2
ZAM
71%
18%
11%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
ZAM
1 - 1
TUN
26%
26%
48%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
ZAM
4 - 2
KOR
20%
27%
54%
|
77 | 91 | 14 | +1 |