Chile vs Venezuela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
8.5%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 1991 |
CHI
3 - 1
ECU
71%
20%
9%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1991 |
URU
2 - 1
CHI
59%
25%
16%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1991 |
ECU
2 - 1
CHI
39%
29%
32%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 May. 1991 |
CHI
2 - 1
URU
45%
29%
26%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1991 |
IRL
1 - 1
CHI
57%
26%
17%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1989 |
CHI
5 - 0
VEN
89%
8%
3%
|
60 | 85 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1989 |
BRA
6 - 0
VEN
96%
3%
1%
|
61 | 95 | 34 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 1989 |
VEN
1 - 3
CHI
8%
24%
68%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 1989 |
VEN
0 - 4
BRA
4%
17%
80%
|
61 | 95 | 34 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 1989 |
PAR
3 - 0
VEN
72%
19%
9%
|
62 | 85 | 23 | -1 |