Chile vs Venezuela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
10.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 1979 |
COL
1 - 0
CHL
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1979 |
VEN
1 - 1
CHL
46%
25%
29%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 1979 |
URY
2 - 1
CHL
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 1979 |
CHL
1 - 0
URY
49%
24%
27%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1979 |
ECU
2 - 1
CHL
34%
25%
41%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1979 |
COL
4 - 0
VEN
62%
20%
18%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1979 |
VEN
1 - 1
CHL
46%
25%
29%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1979 |
VEN
0 - 0
COL
59%
21%
20%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1978 |
VEN
0 - 1
CHN
36%
24%
40%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1977 |
URY
2 - 0
VEN
79%
13%
8%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | 0 |