Chile vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
36.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
BRA
4 - 0
CHI
81%
14%
6%
|
88 | 97 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2022 |
BOL
2 - 3
CHI
21%
24%
55%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
CHI
1 - 2
ARG
23%
25%
52%
|
88 | 94 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
SLV
0 - 1
CHI
11%
22%
67%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2021 |
MEX
2 - 2
CHI
58%
23%
19%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
URU
1 - 0
PER
63%
21%
16%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
URU
4 - 1
VEN
72%
17%
11%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
PAR
0 - 1
URU
23%
24%
52%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
BOL
3 - 0
URU
12%
20%
68%
|
91 | 74 | 17 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
URU
0 - 1
ARG
31%
26%
43%
|
91 | 94 | 3 | 0 |