Chile vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
26.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1985 |
CHI
6 - 2
ECU
75%
16%
9%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1985 |
PER
1 - 1
CHI
48%
28%
25%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1985 |
ECU
1 - 1
CHI
32%
26%
42%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1985 |
CHI
1 - 2
PER
63%
23%
14%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1985 |
CHI
1 - 1
COL
75%
16%
9%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1985 |
URU
2 - 1
ECU
77%
17%
7%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1985 |
URU
2 - 2
PER
68%
21%
11%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1985 |
URU
3 - 0
COL
73%
19%
8%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1985 |
URU
2 - 1
FIN
82%
12%
5%
|
87 | 57 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1985 |
PAR
1 - 3
URU
39%
31%
30%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |