Chile vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
27.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1959 |
CHI
5 - 2
BOL
79%
12%
9%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1959 |
CHI
1 - 1
PER
63%
19%
19%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1959 |
BRA
3 - 0
CHI
86%
9%
5%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1959 |
PAR
2 - 1
CHI
71%
16%
14%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1959 |
ARG
6 - 1
CHI
82%
11%
7%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1959 |
ARG
4 - 1
URU
73%
15%
13%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1959 |
BRA
3 - 1
URU
77%
13%
11%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1959 |
URU
3 - 1
PAR
75%
14%
11%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1959 |
PER
5 - 3
URU
58%
19%
23%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1959 |
URU
7 - 0
BOL
82%
11%
7%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |