Chile vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
32%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1955 |
CHI
5 - 4
PER
61%
19%
20%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1955 |
CHI
7 - 1
ECU
89%
7%
4%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1954 |
CHI
2 - 4
PER
44%
20%
35%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1954 |
CHI
2 - 1
PER
42%
21%
37%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1954 |
BRA
1 - 0
CHI
82%
11%
7%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1955 |
URU
3 - 1
PAR
77%
13%
10%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 1954 |
AUT
3 - 1
URU
62%
18%
21%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1954 |
HUN
4 - 2
URU
83%
10%
7%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1954 |
URU
4 - 2
ENG
37%
22%
42%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1954 |
URU
7 - 0
SCO
53%
21%
26%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |