Chile vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21.1%
37.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1953 |
PAR
3 - 0
CHI
58%
20%
23%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 1952 |
EGY
5 - 4
CHI
55%
20%
25%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1952 |
CHI
0 - 3
BRA
38%
21%
40%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1952 |
CHI
2 - 0
URU
45%
21%
34%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1952 |
CHI
3 - 2
PER
48%
20%
32%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1953 |
URU
2 - 0
BOL
79%
13%
9%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1952 |
BRA
4 - 2
URU
69%
16%
15%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1952 |
CHI
2 - 0
URU
45%
21%
34%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1952 |
URU
6 - 1
PAN
71%
16%
14%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1952 |
PER
2 - 5
URU
49%
21%
30%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |