Chile vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.7%
34.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1952 |
CHI
3 - 2
PER
48%
20%
32%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1952 |
CHI
4 - 0
MEX
49%
21%
30%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1952 |
CHI
6 - 1
PAN
51%
19%
30%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 1950 |
CHI
5 - 2
USA
55%
19%
26%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +2 |
| 29 Jun. 1950 |
ESP
2 - 0
CHI
78%
13%
9%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1952 |
URU
6 - 1
PAN
71%
16%
14%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1952 |
PER
2 - 5
URU
49%
21%
30%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1952 |
MEX
1 - 3
URU
58%
19%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 1950 |
URU
2 - 1
BRA
39%
22%
40%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 1950 |
URU
3 - 2
SWE
40%
22%
38%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |