Chile vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21.1%
39.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1949 |
PER
3 - 0
CHI
64%
18%
18%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1949 |
PAR
4 - 2
CHI
64%
18%
18%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1949 |
CHI
1 - 1
COL
67%
17%
17%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1949 |
CHI
1 - 0
ECU
82%
11%
7%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1949 |
BRA
2 - 1
CHI
78%
13%
10%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1949 |
PER
4 - 3
URU
45%
21%
34%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1949 |
BRA
5 - 1
URU
65%
17%
19%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1949 |
URU
2 - 2
COL
73%
15%
12%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1949 |
URU
2 - 1
PAR
63%
18%
19%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1949 |
BOL
3 - 2
URU
25%
20%
55%
|
80 | 56 | 24 | 0 |