Chile vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
42.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1945 |
CHI
1 - 1
ARG
31%
23%
46%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1945 |
CHI
2 - 0
COL
53%
21%
27%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1945 |
CHI
5 - 0
BOL
60%
19%
21%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 1945 |
CHI
6 - 3
ECU
70%
16%
14%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1942 |
CHI
0 - 0
PER
44%
22%
35%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1945 |
URU
2 - 0
BOL
74%
15%
11%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1945 |
BRA
3 - 0
URU
54%
20%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1945 |
URU
7 - 0
COL
65%
18%
17%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1945 |
URU
5 - 1
ECU
78%
14%
9%
|
80 | 55 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1944 |
BRA
4 - 0
URU
53%
20%
27%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |