Chile vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
49.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1926 |
CHI
5 - 1
PAR
41%
24%
34%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1926 |
CHI
1 - 1
ARG
26%
25%
50%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1926 |
CHI
1 - 3
URU
25%
24%
51%
|
58 | 81 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1926 |
CHI
7 - 1
BOL
33%
25%
43%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | +2 |
| 01 Nov. 1924 |
PAR
3 - 1
CHI
72%
16%
12%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1927 |
ARG
3 - 2
URU
44%
24%
32%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1927 |
URU
9 - 0
BOL
73%
16%
12%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1927 |
URU
4 - 0
PER
65%
19%
16%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 1927 |
ARG
0 - 1
URU
47%
24%
30%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 1927 |
URU
0 - 1
ARG
56%
22%
22%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |