Chile vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
51.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1926 |
CHI
7 - 1
BOL
33%
25%
43%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1924 |
PAR
3 - 1
CHI
72%
16%
12%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1924 |
URU
5 - 0
CHI
79%
13%
8%
|
57 | 81 | 24 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 1924 |
CHI
0 - 1
URU
24%
22%
54%
|
57 | 81 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1923 |
ARG
6 - 0
CHI
72%
17%
12%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1925 |
PAR
0 - 0
URU
40%
23%
36%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1925 |
PAR
0 - 1
URU
41%
23%
36%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1925 |
PAR
1 - 0
URU
39%
23%
38%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 1925 |
URU
0 - 1
PAR
69%
17%
14%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 1925 |
URU
0 - 1
PAR
71%
16%
13%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |