Chile vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
48.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1920 |
CHI
1 - 1
ARG
31%
24%
45%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1920 |
CHI
0 - 1
BRA
34%
24%
42%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1919 |
ARG
4 - 1
CHI
74%
16%
10%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1919 |
URU
2 - 0
CHI
76%
14%
10%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1919 |
BRA
6 - 0
CHI
73%
16%
11%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1920 |
URU
6 - 0
BRA
62%
20%
19%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1920 |
ARG
1 - 1
URU
49%
23%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1920 |
ARG
1 - 0
URU
50%
23%
28%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 1920 |
ARG
1 - 3
URU
52%
22%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 1920 |
URU
2 - 0
ARG
58%
20%
22%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |