Chile vs USSR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
18.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1961 |
CHI
2 - 3
URU
39%
22%
39%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1961 |
CHI
0 - 1
BRA
21%
21%
58%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1961 |
CHI
1 - 2
BRA
21%
20%
59%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
CHI
3 - 1
GER
39%
22%
40%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1961 |
CHI
5 - 2
PER
54%
21%
25%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1961 |
ARG
1 - 2
SUN
77%
15%
9%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1961 |
TUR
1 - 2
SUN
52%
21%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
SUN
0 - 1
AUT
41%
23%
37%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1961 |
NOR
0 - 3
SUN
44%
22%
34%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 1961 |
SUN
5 - 2
NOR
59%
18%
23%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |