Chile vs East Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
25.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 1974 |
BRD
1 - 0
CHI
84%
10%
6%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1974 |
CHI
1 - 2
IRL
68%
18%
14%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1974 |
HTI
0 - 0
CHI
28%
23%
49%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1974 |
HTI
0 - 1
CHI
30%
23%
47%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1973 |
SUN
0 - 0
CHI
73%
15%
12%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
East Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 1974 |
DDR
2 - 0
AUS
74%
15%
11%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1974 |
DDR
1 - 1
ENG
38%
27%
36%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1974 |
DDR
1 - 0
NOR
81%
12%
7%
|
87 | 60 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1974 |
DDR
1 - 0
CSK
59%
23%
18%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1974 |
DDR
1 - 0
BEL
65%
21%
14%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |