Chile vs Peru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
14.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2004 |
BOL
0 - 2
CHI
35%
27%
38%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2004 |
MEX
1 - 1
CHI
61%
22%
17%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2003 |
CHI
0 - 1
PAR
48%
25%
27%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
URU
2 - 1
CHI
56%
24%
20%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2003 |
CHI
2 - 1
PER
64%
21%
15%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2004 |
PER
0 - 2
COL
40%
28%
32%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
ESP
2 - 1
PER
82%
13%
5%
|
86 | 99 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2003 |
ECU
0 - 0
PER
55%
25%
20%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
PER
1 - 1
BRA
14%
21%
66%
|
86 | 99 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2003 |
CHI
2 - 1
PER
64%
21%
15%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |