Chile vs Peru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
22.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 1973 |
CHI
3 - 0
BOL
78%
13%
9%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 1973 |
CHI
3 - 1
ARG
39%
27%
34%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 1973 |
ARG
5 - 4
CHI
72%
18%
10%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1973 |
CHI
2 - 0
PER
51%
22%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1973 |
CHI
2 - 0
PER
49%
23%
28%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 1973 |
ARG
3 - 1
PER
73%
17%
10%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 1973 |
BOL
2 - 0
PER
39%
22%
39%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 1973 |
PER
3 - 1
COL
77%
14%
9%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1973 |
CHI
2 - 0
PER
51%
22%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1973 |
CHI
2 - 0
PER
49%
23%
28%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |