Chile vs Peru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20%
24.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1953 |
CHI
3 - 2
URU
42%
21%
37%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1953 |
PAR
3 - 0
CHI
58%
20%
23%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 1952 |
EGY
5 - 4
CHI
55%
20%
25%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1952 |
CHI
0 - 3
BRA
38%
21%
40%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1952 |
CHI
2 - 0
URU
45%
21%
34%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1953 |
PER
1 - 0
ECU
83%
11%
6%
|
75 | 50 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1953 |
BOL
1 - 0
PER
35%
23%
42%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1952 |
MEX
0 - 3
PER
66%
17%
17%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1952 |
BRA
0 - 0
PER
78%
13%
10%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1952 |
CHI
3 - 2
PER
48%
20%
32%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |