Chile vs Peru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
29.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1947 |
URU
6 - 0
CHI
68%
17%
15%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1946 |
CHI
4 - 1
BOL
71%
16%
13%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 1946 |
BRA
5 - 1
CHI
78%
13%
10%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 1946 |
ARG
3 - 1
CHI
77%
14%
9%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 1946 |
CHI
2 - 1
PAR
54%
21%
26%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1947 |
PER
2 - 2
PAR
63%
18%
19%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1942 |
CHI
0 - 0
PER
44%
22%
35%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 1942 |
URU
3 - 0
PER
62%
19%
20%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1942 |
PER
2 - 1
ECU
74%
15%
11%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1942 |
ARG
3 - 1
PER
69%
17%
14%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |