Chile vs Peru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
34.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1942 |
CHI
2 - 1
ECU
68%
17%
16%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1942 |
ARG
0 - 0
CHI
75%
15%
10%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 1942 |
PAR
2 - 0
CHI
63%
19%
19%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1942 |
BRA
6 - 1
CHI
73%
15%
12%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 1942 |
URU
6 - 1
CHI
69%
17%
14%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1942 |
URU
3 - 0
PER
62%
19%
20%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1942 |
PER
2 - 1
ECU
74%
15%
11%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1942 |
ARG
3 - 1
PER
69%
17%
14%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1942 |
BRA
2 - 1
PER
61%
19%
21%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1942 |
PAR
1 - 1
PER
47%
22%
32%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |