Chile vs Peru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
35.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1941 |
CHI
5 - 0
ECU
58%
19%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1941 |
CHI
2 - 5
ARG
33%
23%
44%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1941 |
CHI
1 - 2
ARG
33%
23%
44%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1940 |
URU
3 - 2
CHI
72%
16%
12%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1940 |
ARG
3 - 2
CHI
73%
16%
11%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1941 |
PER
0 - 3
ARG
40%
23%
38%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1941 |
PER
1 - 1
ARG
40%
23%
38%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1941 |
PER
1 - 1
ARG
39%
23%
38%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1939 |
PER
2 - 1
URU
47%
22%
31%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 1939 |
PER
3 - 0
PAR
63%
19%
19%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |