Chile vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
25.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2006 |
PER
0 - 1
CHI
41%
27%
32%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
CHI
3 - 2
PER
62%
23%
15%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2006 |
CHI
1 - 2
COL
46%
28%
27%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2006 |
SWE
1 - 1
CHI
67%
21%
13%
|
89 | 94 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2006 |
CHI
1 - 1
CIV
60%
23%
17%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
AUS
1 - 1
PAR
42%
29%
29%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2006 |
PAR
2 - 0
TTO
82%
12%
6%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2006 |
SWE
1 - 0
PAR
65%
20%
15%
|
90 | 94 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2006 |
ENG
1 - 0
PAR
83%
12%
5%
|
90 | 98 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2006 |
GEO
0 - 1
PAR
22%
28%
51%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |