Chile vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
20.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 1997 |
CHI
4 - 1
COL
51%
26%
22%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1997 |
CHI
1 - 2
ECU
69%
19%
12%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1997 |
CHI
0 - 2
ARG
38%
26%
36%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1997 |
PAR
1 - 0
CHI
46%
27%
27%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1997 |
ECU
1 - 1
CHI
35%
28%
38%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 1997 |
PAR
1 - 2
ARG
30%
28%
42%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1997 |
BRA
2 - 0
PAR
84%
11%
4%
|
88 | 99 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1997 |
ARG
1 - 1
PAR
66%
21%
13%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1997 |
PAR
0 - 2
ECU
63%
23%
14%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 1997 |
PAR
1 - 0
CHI
46%
27%
27%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |