Chile vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
18%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1995 |
CHI
3 - 1
NZL
72%
18%
10%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1995 |
CAN
1 - 2
CHI
30%
29%
41%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1995 |
CHI
2 - 1
NIR
63%
23%
14%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1995 |
CHI
1 - 1
ISL
75%
17%
8%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1995 |
PER
6 - 0
CHI
27%
30%
43%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 1995 |
PAR
0 - 0
TUR
57%
25%
18%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1995 |
ARG
2 - 1
PAR
66%
21%
12%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1995 |
PAR
0 - 0
BOL
63%
23%
14%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1995 |
BOL
1 - 1
PAR
34%
29%
37%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1993 |
PER
2 - 2
PAR
33%
31%
37%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | +1 |