Chile vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
20.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 1991 |
CHL
0 - 1
ARG
43%
27%
31%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 1991 |
CHL
4 - 2
PER
68%
21%
12%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1991 |
CHL
2 - 0
VEN
74%
17%
9%
|
86 | 60 | 26 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1991 |
CHL
3 - 1
ECU
71%
20%
9%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1991 |
URY
2 - 1
CHL
59%
25%
16%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 1991 |
ARG
4 - 1
PRY
62%
23%
15%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 1991 |
PRY
5 - 0
VEN
71%
20%
10%
|
86 | 59 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1991 |
PRY
1 - 0
PER
63%
23%
14%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1991 |
PRY
0 - 0
BOL
77%
15%
8%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1991 |
BOL
0 - 1
PRY
24%
25%
51%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |