Chile vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
17.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1985 |
PAR
3 - 0
CHI
47%
28%
25%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1985 |
PER
0 - 1
CHI
46%
28%
26%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1985 |
CHI
4 - 2
PER
62%
23%
15%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1985 |
CHI
0 - 0
PAR
59%
24%
17%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1985 |
CHI
1 - 0
URU
47%
27%
25%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1985 |
PAR
3 - 0
CHI
47%
28%
25%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1985 |
COL
2 - 1
PAR
41%
26%
33%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1985 |
PAR
3 - 0
COL
64%
21%
15%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1985 |
CHI
0 - 0
PAR
59%
24%
17%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1985 |
PER
0 - 1
PAR
51%
26%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |