Chile vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.1%
16.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1967 |
CHI
2 - 0
VEN
74%
15%
11%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1966 |
COL
0 - 0
CHI
49%
22%
29%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1966 |
CHI
5 - 2
COL
82%
12%
7%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 1966 |
SUN
2 - 1
CHI
75%
14%
10%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 1966 |
PRK
1 - 1
CHI
33%
23%
44%
|
77 | 8 | 69 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1967 |
ARG
4 - 1
PAR
77%
14%
9%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1966 |
PAR
3 - 1
ECU
83%
11%
6%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1966 |
ECU
2 - 2
PAR
42%
22%
36%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1966 |
URU
3 - 1
PAR
61%
20%
19%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1966 |
PAR
2 - 2
URU
42%
23%
35%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |