Chile vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.4%
23.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1954 |
PAR
4 - 0
CHI
63%
18%
19%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 1953 |
PER
5 - 0
CHI
65%
18%
17%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -2 |
| 26 Jul. 1953 |
PER
1 - 2
CHI
67%
17%
16%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 1953 |
CHI
1 - 2
ESP
46%
22%
32%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1953 |
CHI
1 - 2
ENG
30%
21%
49%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1954 |
PAR
4 - 0
CHI
63%
18%
19%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1953 |
PAR
3 - 2
BRA
33%
22%
45%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1953 |
PAR
2 - 1
BRA
32%
22%
46%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1953 |
GTM
1 - 0
PAR
48%
20%
33%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1953 |
CRC
3 - 0
PAR
75%
13%
12%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |