Chile vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
25.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1946 |
URU
1 - 0
CHI
68%
17%
15%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1945 |
CHI
0 - 1
BRA
38%
22%
41%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1945 |
CHI
1 - 0
URU
36%
22%
43%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 1945 |
CHI
1 - 1
ARG
31%
23%
46%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 1945 |
CHI
2 - 0
COL
53%
21%
27%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1946 |
ARG
2 - 0
PAR
75%
15%
10%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 1945 |
PAR
1 - 3
ARG
33%
23%
44%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 1945 |
PAR
5 - 1
ARG
31%
23%
46%
|
70 | 89 | 19 | +2 |
| 09 Jan. 1945 |
ARG
5 - 3
PAR
76%
15%
10%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1945 |
ARG
5 - 2
PAR
75%
15%
10%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | -1 |