Chile vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
34.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1926 |
CHI
1 - 1
ARG
26%
25%
50%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1926 |
CHI
1 - 3
URU
25%
24%
51%
|
58 | 81 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1926 |
CHI
7 - 1
BOL
33%
25%
43%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | +2 |
| 01 Nov. 1924 |
PAR
3 - 1
CHI
72%
16%
12%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1924 |
ARG
2 - 0
CHI
73%
16%
11%
|
57 | 80 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1926 |
URU
6 - 1
PAR
71%
17%
13%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1926 |
BOL
1 - 6
PAR
56%
21%
22%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +2 |
| 20 Oct. 1926 |
ARG
8 - 0
PAR
65%
19%
15%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 1926 |
PAR
1 - 2
ARG
38%
25%
37%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 May. 1926 |
PAR
1 - 2
ARG
39%
25%
36%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |