Chile vs Mexico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
44%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2011 |
PAR
0 - 0
CHI
41%
28%
32%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
CHI
4 - 0
EST
77%
16%
7%
|
92 | 73 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
CHI
2 - 0
COL
52%
26%
22%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
POR
1 - 1
CHI
65%
21%
14%
|
92 | 95 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
USA
1 - 1
CHI
53%
24%
23%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
USA
2 - 4
MEX
31%
24%
45%
|
94 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2011 |
HND
0 - 2
MEX
14%
20%
66%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
MEX
2 - 1
GTM
88%
9%
3%
|
93 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2011 |
MEX
4 - 1
CRC
75%
16%
9%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2011 |
CUB
0 - 5
MEX
4%
13%
84%
|
93 | 74 | 19 | 0 |