Chile vs Mexico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
30.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1996 |
BOL
1 - 1
CHI
31%
29%
41%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1995 |
CHI
2 - 0
CAN
70%
19%
10%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 1995 |
BOL
2 - 2
CHI
36%
28%
36%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 1995 |
ARG
4 - 0
CHI
66%
21%
13%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 1995 |
USA
2 - 1
CHI
41%
27%
32%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1996 |
MEX
2 - 0
BRA
25%
26%
50%
|
90 | 98 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1996 |
MEX
1 - 0
GTM
74%
18%
9%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1996 |
GTM
0 - 1
MEX
28%
29%
43%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1996 |
MEX
5 - 0
VCT
81%
14%
5%
|
90 | 23 | 67 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1995 |
MEX
1 - 2
SVN
89%
8%
3%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |