Chile vs Mexico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
44.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1928 |
POR
4 - 2
CHI
73%
16%
12%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1927 |
CHI
2 - 3
URU
26%
24%
50%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1926 |
CHI
5 - 1
PAR
41%
24%
34%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1926 |
CHI
1 - 1
ARG
26%
25%
50%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1926 |
CHI
1 - 3
URU
25%
24%
51%
|
58 | 81 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1928 |
ESP
7 - 1
MEX
61%
20%
20%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1924 |
SUR
3 - 1
MEX
17%
22%
61%
|
77 | 38 | 39 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1924 |
LTU
0 - 10
MEX
44%
23%
33%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1923 |
MEX
3 - 3
GTM
73%
16%
12%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1923 |
MEX
2 - 0
GTM
72%
16%
12%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |