Chile vs Italy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
24%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1962 |
CHI
3 - 1
SUI
74%
14%
12%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1961 |
CHI
0 - 0
HUN
15%
17%
68%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1961 |
CHI
5 - 1
HUN
13%
17%
70%
|
72 | 91 | 19 | +2 |
| 22 Nov. 1961 |
CHI
0 - 1
SUN
63%
19%
19%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1961 |
CHI
2 - 3
URU
39%
22%
39%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1962 |
BRD
0 - 0
ITA
60%
19%
20%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1962 |
BEL
1 - 3
ITA
32%
24%
44%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1962 |
ITA
2 - 1
FRA
75%
15%
10%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1961 |
ITA
6 - 0
ISR
83%
10%
6%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
ISR
2 - 4
ITA
52%
22%
26%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |