Chile vs Israel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2010 |
CHI
1 - 0
NIR
70%
20%
10%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2010 |
CHI
3 - 0
ZAM
71%
18%
10%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
MEX
1 - 0
CHI
59%
23%
18%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2010 |
CHI
2 - 0
TTO
68%
19%
12%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
CHI
0 - 0
VEN
66%
21%
14%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Israel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2010 |
URU
4 - 1
ISR
57%
23%
20%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
ROU
0 - 2
ISR
62%
22%
16%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2009 |
SUI
0 - 0
ISR
58%
23%
19%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
ISR
3 - 1
MDA
76%
16%
7%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
ISR
7 - 0
LUX
86%
11%
4%
|
89 | 37 | 52 | 0 |