Chile vs Iraq analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
6.9%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2013 |
CHI
3 - 1
BOL
75%
16%
9%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
PAR
1 - 2
CHI
41%
27%
32%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2013 |
BRA
2 - 2
CHI
79%
14%
6%
|
90 | 97 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
CHI
2 - 0
URU
42%
25%
33%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
PER
1 - 0
CHI
31%
27%
42%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2013 |
AUS
1 - 0
IRQ
67%
21%
12%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2013 |
IRQ
0 - 1
JPN
20%
25%
55%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2013 |
OMA
1 - 0
IRQ
42%
27%
31%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
CHN
1 - 0
IRQ
50%
24%
26%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
IRQ
1 - 0
IDN
69%
19%
12%
|
80 | 58 | 22 | +1 |