Chile vs Ghana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
7.8%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
PAR
2 - 0
CHI
40%
27%
32%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
CHI
3 - 2
PAR
57%
24%
20%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
CHI
2 - 0
PAR
55%
24%
21%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
URU
4 - 0
CHI
56%
24%
20%
|
92 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
CHI
4 - 2
PER
67%
21%
13%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ghana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
GHA
0 - 2
MLI
58%
23%
18%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
ZAM
1 - 0
GHA
24%
25%
51%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
GHA
2 - 1
TUN
35%
27%
38%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
GHA
1 - 1
GUI
58%
23%
19%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
GHA
2 - 0
MLI
57%
24%
19%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |