Chile vs France analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
26.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 1930 |
CHI
3 - 0
MEX
38%
23%
39%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1930 |
JPN
3 - 3
CHI
71%
16%
13%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 May. 1930 |
CHI
5 - 0
PHL
76%
14%
10%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1928 |
NED
2 - 2
CHI
79%
13%
8%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1928 |
CHI
3 - 1
MEX
32%
23%
45%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | +3 |
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 1930 |
ARG
1 - 0
FRA
65%
19%
16%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 1930 |
FRA
4 - 1
MEX
37%
23%
40%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | +2 |
| 25 May. 1930 |
BEL
1 - 2
FRA
74%
14%
12%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 May. 1930 |
FRA
0 - 2
SCO
30%
23%
47%
|
57 | 82 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1930 |
FRA
2 - 3
CSK
32%
24%
45%
|
58 | 81 | 23 | -1 |