Chile vs USA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
16.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 1999 |
CHI
1 - 2
MEX
47%
24%
29%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 1999 |
URU
1 - 1
CHI
42%
25%
32%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 1999 |
COL
2 - 3
CHI
45%
25%
30%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1999 |
BRA
1 - 0
CHI
88%
9%
3%
|
90 | 99 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 1999 |
CHI
3 - 0
VEN
86%
10%
4%
|
90 | 66 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
USA
1 - 1
IRN
57%
23%
20%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1999 |
MAR
2 - 1
USA
44%
28%
28%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1999 |
JAM
2 - 2
USA
24%
29%
46%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1999 |
USA
2 - 0
KSA
56%
23%
21%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1999 |
MEX
1 - 0
USA
64%
21%
16%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |