Chile vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
40.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 1960 |
CHI
0 - 4
ESP
38%
23%
40%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1960 |
BRA
4 - 0
CHI
87%
9%
4%
|
70 | 89 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1960 |
URU
2 - 2
CHI
72%
16%
12%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1960 |
CHI
2 - 3
URU
37%
22%
41%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1960 |
BEL
1 - 1
CHI
65%
18%
17%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 1960 |
CHI
0 - 4
ESP
38%
23%
40%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 1960 |
PER
1 - 3
ESP
46%
22%
32%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1960 |
ESP
3 - 0
ENG
48%
21%
31%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1960 |
ESP
3 - 1
ITA
57%
21%
23%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1959 |
FRA
4 - 3
ESP
51%
21%
28%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |