Chile vs Egypt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
17.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
CHI
3 - 0
HTI
82%
13%
5%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2013 |
CHI
2 - 1
SEN
75%
17%
9%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 3
SRB
71%
19%
11%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 2
ARG
25%
25%
50%
|
90 | 96 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
ECU
3 - 1
CHI
46%
25%
28%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2013 |
CIV
4 - 2
EGY
50%
26%
25%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2013 |
GHA
3 - 0
EGY
30%
28%
42%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2012 |
QAT
0 - 2
EGY
24%
27%
49%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
GEO
0 - 0
EGY
22%
27%
52%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
EGY
0 - 1
TUN
69%
19%
13%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | -1 |