Chile vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
15.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2001 |
COL
3 - 1
CHI
57%
24%
19%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
BRA
2 - 0
CHI
85%
11%
4%
|
89 | 99 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2001 |
CHI
0 - 2
VEN
82%
13%
6%
|
89 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2001 |
CHI
2 - 1
FRA
19%
24%
57%
|
89 | 100 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2001 |
CHI
2 - 2
BOL
73%
17%
10%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2001 |
ECU
1 - 1
URU
37%
27%
36%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
BOL
1 - 5
ECU
43%
27%
30%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2001 |
COL
0 - 0
ECU
66%
22%
13%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2001 |
ECU
0 - 2
ARG
16%
23%
61%
|
87 | 98 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2001 |
ECU
4 - 0
VEN
79%
14%
7%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | +1 |