Chile vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
12.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1996 |
VEN
1 - 1
CHI
14%
22%
64%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1996 |
CHI
2 - 0
BOL
68%
20%
12%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1996 |
CHI
3 - 0
AUS
62%
23%
15%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1996 |
CHI
4 - 0
PER
70%
20%
11%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1996 |
CHI
2 - 1
MEX
41%
28%
30%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 1996 |
ECU
3 - 0
ARM
83%
11%
6%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1996 |
ECU
2 - 0
ARG
21%
27%
52%
|
81 | 92 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1996 |
ECU
4 - 1
PER
65%
20%
15%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1996 |
QAT
1 - 2
ECU
28%
27%
45%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1996 |
KWT
0 - 3
ECU
40%
28%
33%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |