Chile vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
16%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
14.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1942 |
CHI
0 - 0
PER
44%
22%
35%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1942 |
CHI
2 - 1
ECU
68%
17%
16%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1942 |
ARG
0 - 0
CHI
75%
15%
10%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 1942 |
PAR
2 - 0
CHI
63%
19%
19%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1942 |
BRA
6 - 1
CHI
73%
15%
12%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1942 |
CHI
2 - 1
ECU
68%
17%
16%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1942 |
BRA
5 - 1
ECU
79%
12%
8%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1942 |
PER
2 - 1
ECU
74%
15%
11%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1942 |
PAR
3 - 1
ECU
70%
16%
14%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1942 |
ARG
12 - 0
ECU
77%
14%
9%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | -1 |