Chile vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
27.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1939 |
URU
3 - 2
CHI
73%
15%
11%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1939 |
PER
3 - 1
CHI
69%
17%
15%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 1939 |
PAR
5 - 1
CHI
61%
19%
20%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 1937 |
PER
2 - 2
CHI
63%
19%
19%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 1937 |
PAR
3 - 2
CHI
61%
19%
20%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1939 |
URU
6 - 0
ECU
70%
16%
14%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1939 |
PER
5 - 2
ECU
63%
18%
19%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 1938 |
BOL
2 - 1
ECU
51%
21%
28%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1938 |
ECU
2 - 5
VEN
65%
18%
17%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 1938 |
ECU
1 - 9
PER
58%
20%
22%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -2 |