Chile vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
14.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 1991 |
CHI
4 - 0
PAR
55%
25%
20%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 1991 |
CHI
0 - 1
ARG
43%
27%
31%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 1991 |
CHI
4 - 2
PER
68%
21%
12%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1991 |
CHI
2 - 0
VEN
74%
17%
9%
|
86 | 60 | 26 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1991 |
CHI
3 - 1
ECU
71%
20%
9%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 1991 |
URU
1 - 0
COL
63%
24%
14%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 1991 |
COL
2 - 0
BRA
27%
28%
46%
|
84 | 95 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 1991 |
COL
0 - 0
BOL
64%
22%
14%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 1991 |
COL
1 - 0
ECU
64%
23%
13%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 1991 |
CRC
0 - 1
COL
54%
27%
19%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |