Chile vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.5%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.3%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.5%
7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 1966 |
SUN
2 - 1
CHI
75%
14%
10%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 1966 |
PRK
1 - 1
CHI
33%
23%
44%
|
77 | 8 | 69 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 1966 |
ITA
2 - 0
CHI
85%
10%
5%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1966 |
DDR
5 - 2
CHI
43%
24%
33%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 May. 1966 |
CHI
0 - 1
MEX
54%
21%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 1965 |
COL
2 - 0
CHI
31%
21%
48%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1965 |
CHI
7 - 2
COL
75%
14%
11%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 1965 |
ECU
2 - 0
COL
54%
20%
27%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 1965 |
COL
0 - 1
ECU
68%
16%
16%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1963 |
COL
1 - 0
CRC
27%
22%
52%
|
59 | 83 | 24 | +2 |