Chile vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.8%
16.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1949 |
CHI
1 - 0
ECU
82%
11%
7%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1949 |
BRA
2 - 1
CHI
78%
13%
10%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1949 |
BOL
3 - 2
CHI
36%
22%
42%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 1947 |
CHI
4 - 3
BOL
78%
13%
10%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1947 |
CHI
4 - 1
COL
59%
19%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1949 |
BRA
5 - 0
COL
81%
11%
8%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
PER
4 - 0
COL
66%
17%
17%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -2 |
| 03 Apr. 1949 |
PAR
3 - 0
COL
63%
18%
19%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 1947 |
CHI
4 - 1
COL
59%
19%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 1947 |
PER
5 - 1
COL
60%
19%
21%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |