Chile vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19%
21.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1947 |
PAR
1 - 0
CHI
59%
19%
22%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1947 |
ARG
1 - 1
CHI
79%
13%
8%
|
69 | 89 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1947 |
ECU
0 - 3
CHI
37%
22%
41%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 1947 |
CHI
2 - 1
PER
50%
21%
29%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1947 |
URU
6 - 0
CHI
68%
17%
15%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1947 |
PER
5 - 1
COL
60%
19%
21%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1947 |
PAR
2 - 0
COL
56%
20%
24%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1947 |
ARG
6 - 0
COL
78%
13%
9%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1947 |
COL
0 - 0
BOL
77%
13%
10%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1947 |
COL
0 - 0
ECU
79%
12%
9%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |